Football Formula Draft Sheet

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Last updated: 08/12/2009

 

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Are you tired of going to a fantasy football draft and your opponents are drafting from the same magazine you are?  So you know that every round you can count on the same thing.  You have your eye on a couple players and by the time it gets to you all of your choices are gone.  And when the draft is over you hate your team because you did not get any players you want.  So you hit the season just happy to finish .500 or hoping to fix your bad draft through free agent picks. 

 

What would you think if you could get your hands on a tool that the magazines can't offer.  A spreadsheet that takes 15 different statistics into account to come up with a final grade for each player.

A draft sheet that shows you the weekly fantasy point average for each player.

A draft sheet that calculates the average weekly variation in fantasy points for every player.

A draft sheet that shows you the players age.

My personal rating of each players worth on your team.

Summarized comments to help with each player on draft day.

 

This sheet factors in 2 year averages for every player, along with the previous year's weekly differences, and the current player's age.  It factors in team statistics from the previous season.  Since all scores are based upon history, rookies do not fair well (they only factor in team stats), so you will have to use your own judgment for rookies.

Also keep in mind that this is a statistics based system, and you will have to account for possible player situation changes from the previous year.  For example, a player moving to a new team that is not as good as the old one.  Also watch for one year wonders or possible rookie surprises.

Tight Ends are an issue if you are in a league that regards them as Wide Receivers.  This is setup for leagues where tight ends are required.  If Tight Ends are not required just drop the Roster Spot by one.

 

Now let me explain some secrets with my system.

1st.  Age 25 seems to be the prime age for most players, especially WRs and RBs.

2nd.  I am a believer in consistent play.  Use the weekly difference column to find players that don't change drastically from week to week.  Some players, like QBs can vary more since they score more.

3rd.  I learned that it is best to avoid or be very cautious of players the have a higher Weekly Difference than their Game Average.  The only exception to this are players that spent most of the previous season hurt.

4th.  When laying out stats for players, some interesting details sometimes jump out.  I will try to lay some of this out as comments.

5th.  I do not deal with kickers or defenses.  Statistics mean very little for these two positions.  They both change drastically each year.

 

There are a total of 5 sheets sorted by grade.  The best player may not be on the top.  Under the Roster Spot column I rate players based on where I feel they belong on your team (meaning a RB with a 2 should be your number 2 RB at best), but I don't tell you who to draft, you must review the numbers and decide for yourself.  You can use the Full Draft Sheet and select the best player available or use the position sheets to select for a specific position.  You can sort each column by clicking on the header.  Currently I am sorting by the Roster Spot then the Grade, I have found this to be a good draft order.

Remember that you can make or break your season in the draft, so don't take it lightly.  It is important to prepare and have the best info available.  I hope this will give you the added data to keep you on top.